TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 7:15 PM EST
Kalshi
This market asks whether the total points scored in the Kansas City versus Denver professional football game will exceed 40.5. Currently, the “over 40.5 points” outcome is trading at 99.0% on Kalshi. Resolution will be determined by the final score of the game, as defined by whether Kansas City and Denver collectively score more than 39.5 points, with the resolution source being the official game results. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market will resolve following the conclusion of the Kansas City versus Denver game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, with final resolution expected by November 2, 2026.
The event evaluates whether the total points scored by both Kansas City and Denver in their Pro Football game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, exceed specified thresholds ranging from 20.5 to 62.5 points. Each threshold represents a separate market, and the market resolves to 'Yes' if the combined score surpasses that threshold. The resolution is contingent solely on the official game result, with no additional conditions or adjustments applied. Kalshi explicitly states it holds no affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals expressing their beliefs about the likely outcome. Often, you’ll find that prediction markets are more accurate than traditional point spreads, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. However, sportsbook odds represent a readily available alternative for those interested in betting on the same event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of the total points scored in the Chiefs-Broncos game being over the specified threshold. As more people buy contracts predicting 'over', the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism reflects the collective intelligence of the traders on the platform, providing a real-time assessment of the likely outcome. The current price reflects the market’s expectation of the total points scored.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Kansas City Chiefs versus Denver Broncos game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total points scored, as officially recorded by the league, will determine whether the 'over' or 'under' contracts will pay out. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics and will be publicly available following the completion of the game. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final result.
Several factors could significantly move this market. Any news regarding key player injuries to starting quarterbacks, running backs, or key defensive players for either the Chiefs or the Broncos would likely cause shifts in the price. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is predicted, could also influence expectations. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could also play a role. Finally, significant betting activity or large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and move the price.