TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 7:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many total offensive yards each team achieves in a specific football game. Each market corresponds to a different yardage threshold that a team must surpass for the market to resolve positively.
All markets resolve based on the total offensive yards recorded by either Kansas City or Denver in their Pro Football game originally scheduled for November 1, 2026. For any market, if the designated team achieves the specified yardage threshold or more, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific yardage thresholds set.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – the prediction market may adjust more quickly than traditional sportsbooks. It's common to see discrepancies, particularly before significant events or when public sentiment strongly favors one outcome. This can present opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different yardage totals. The price of each contract indicates the probability of that specific total occurring. As traders place orders, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth shows the available liquidity at various price points, giving traders insight into the potential impact of larger orders. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to converge towards a fair and accurate prediction of the total yards gained by both teams.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total yards gained by both the Kansas City Chiefs and the Denver Broncos, as officially recorded by the NFL, will determine the result. The market will settle based on the official statistics released by the league, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders will be able to see the final result and any associated payouts following the official confirmation of the game's statistics.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries – particularly quarterbacks or top receivers – for either the Chiefs or the Broncos would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, especially conditions that favor passing or running offenses, could also impact trading activity. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or defensive matchups could further shift market sentiment. Finally, significant public betting patterns in sportsbooks might also influence traders on Kalshi as they attempt to capitalize on perceived mispricings.