TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 6:47 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team scores in an upcoming football game, allowing participants to speculate on various scoring thresholds being surpassed. The outcomes depend solely on the final point totals for both teams, reflecting different levels of offensive performance in the match.
Each market resolves based on whether the specified team scores more than a designated point threshold in the game scheduled for November 1, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the team's points exceed the threshold; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. The markets cover a range of incremental point totals for both Kansas City and Denver, enabling participants to assess varying degrees of scoring potential. All markets are independent, and each has its own specific threshold. The governing body's official rules apply to the game, and Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the league, with all trademarks remaining the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and perspectives beyond those considered by traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbook odds are set by professional oddsmakers, this market allows a broader range of participants to express their beliefs about the outcome. As a result, you may find that prediction market prices are more accurate, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. However, sportsbook odds can still offer valuable insights, and discrepancies between the two can present potential arbitrage opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders can buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about whether the Chiefs or Broncos will exceed specific point totals. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating greater confidence in that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are essentially betting against each other, and the market price reflects the collective expectation of all participants. The current top market on Kalshi is for Denver over 10.5 points scored.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final team totals are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official scores recorded by the league following the completion of the game between the Chiefs and the Broncos. The platform will then determine which contracts payout based on whether the actual team totals exceeded the specified thresholds. It’s important to note that any adjustments or corrections to the official scores will be reflected in the final resolution.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Chiefs or the Broncos would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions that could impact scoring, could also move the market. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team dynamics could influence trader sentiment. Finally, as the game draws closer, public betting patterns and expert analysis will likely play a larger role in shaping the prices within this market.