TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$203,036,808
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,857,846,526
408,774
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,373
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 7:41 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of both teams in a football game, focusing specifically on how many times each team successfully tackles the opposing team's quarterback behind the line of scrimmage. The outcome depends on whether predetermined thresholds of these tackles, known as sacks, are met by either team during the match.
The event resolves based on the total number of sacks recorded by each team in the Kansas City vs Denver Pro Football game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific sack threshold for either Denver or Kansas City, and resolves to Yes if the respective team achieves that threshold. Sacks recorded during 2-point conversion attempts are excluded from all counts. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. If a significant amount of volume flows towards one outcome, the price will adjust accordingly, potentially signaling a different expectation than traditional sportsbooks. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges closer to the game date, as traders incorporate their insights into the price.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the total number of sacks. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that specific outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective expectation. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s depth and volume indicate the level of confidence traders have in their predictions, and the price movements offer insights into how the market is interpreting relevant information, such as injury reports or defensive matchups.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final number of sacks in the Kansas City versus Denver game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game statistics, as reported by the NFL, will be used to determine the winning contract. Traders who correctly predicted the total sacks will receive a payout based on the final price of their contracts at resolution. The market will close prior to the game's completion to prevent any last-minute manipulation.
Several factors could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key defensive players for either team, such as injuries or changes in playing time, would likely cause significant price movement. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, particularly those affecting passing offenses, could also impact the expected number of sacks. Additionally, performance analysis from prior games, coaching strategies, and even late-breaking news about offensive line matchups could all contribute to shifts in the market price as traders adjust their predictions.