TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 7:41 PM EST
Kalshi
This market asks whether Kansas City will win against Denver by more than 1.5 points in their upcoming Pro Football game. Currently, the probability of Kansas City winning by over 1.5 points on Kalshi is 89.0%. The market will resolve based on the final score difference of the Kansas City vs Denver Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, as reported by the official game results. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market will resolve to ‘Yes’ if Kansas City wins by more than 7.5 points when the game concludes on November 1, 2026.
The markets resolve based on the point differential in the Kansas City vs Denver Pro Football game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. Each market specifies a threshold margin of victory, and resolves to 'Yes' if the winning team exceeds that margin. For markets where Kansas City wins, the threshold ranges from 1.5 to 16.5 points. For markets where Denver wins, the threshold also ranges from 1.5 to 16.5 points. All markets are independent, and only the specific threshold condition for each market needs to be met for that market to resolve to 'Yes'. The secondary rule clarifies that Kalshi has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market allows participants to freely express their beliefs about the game’s outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or the release of new information. Examining these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making, though it's important to remember that both represent probabilities as seen by different groups.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread will be determined by the official result of the Kansas City versus Denver game. The resolution will reflect whether Kansas City wins by more or less than the spread established at the time of resolution. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their predictions aligned with the actual game result. It’s important to monitor news sources for the official outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 2, 2026. Key injuries to star players on either team, changes in weather forecasts, or significant shifts in public sentiment could all cause the odds to move. Unexpected news regarding team strategy or coaching decisions could also play a role. Additionally, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a change in expectations. Monitoring these signals and staying updated on team news will be crucial for understanding potential market movements.