TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 7:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of specific players in an upcoming football game between Kansas City and Denver. Participants can speculate on how many rushing yards individual players will accumulate during the match. The structure allows for varied outcomes based on each player's performance on the field.
The event consists of four separate scalar markets, each tied to a different player’s rushing yard performance in the Kansas City vs Denver Pro Football game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. For each market, Yes contracts pay $0.0025 per rushing yard recorded by the respective player, up to a maximum payout of $1.00, which corresponds to a cap of 400 rushing yards. No contracts pay $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Payouts are proportional to the holder’s position size. For instance, if a player records 80 rushing yards, the Yes payout would be $0.20 and the No payout $0.80; at 200 yards, both payouts equal $0.50; and if the player records zero yards, Yes pays $0.00 and No pays $1.00. All markets operate independently, and each resolves based solely on the specified player’s rushing yard total in the game. The event is not endorsed by the NFL, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to express their own beliefs about the likelihood of different outcomes. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than sportsbook odds, especially when there is significant public interest and trading volume. However, it's important to note that discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources and risk assessments. Comparing these odds can offer valuable insights into public perception and potential value.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different rushing yardage levels for the Chiefs and Broncos. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time indication of expectations. The market depth and trading volume influence how quickly prices respond to news and sentiment shifts, creating opportunities for informed traders.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yardage statistics for both the Kansas City Chiefs and Denver Broncos are verifiable from credible public reporting following the completion of their game. The final rushing yardage totals, as reported by official sources, will determine which contracts settle positively and which settle negatively. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the actual rushing yardage ranges will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for ranges that are not achieved will not.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Injury reports for key running backs on either team would be a major catalyst, as would any changes to the teams’ offensive strategies or game plans. Weather conditions on game day, such as rain or snow, could also impact the running game and shift market prices. Unexpected news regarding player suspensions or coaching decisions could also move the market. Finally, any late-breaking analysis from football experts or shifts in public sentiment could contribute to price fluctuations before the market resolves.