TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 7:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks how many rushing yards specific players achieve in an upcoming football game between Kansas City and Denver. Payouts increase progressively with higher yardage totals, offering participants a way to speculate on individual player performance.
Contracts pay out based on the rushing yards accumulated by designated players during the specified game, with payouts structured to reward higher yardage achievements. Each Yes contract's payout is determined by a cubic scaling formula applied to the player's rushing yards, capped at $1.00 for 200 or more yards. No contracts receive the difference between $1.00 and the Yes payout. Negative rushing yards result in a $0.00 payout for Yes contracts. All calculations use official game statistics, and payouts are limited to a maximum of $1.00 per Yes contract.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and real-time sentiment from traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on player injuries, weather conditions, or strategic game plans. It’s common to see prediction markets move more quickly to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, potentially offering a more accurate assessment of the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, where traders bid on and offer contracts representing different rushing yardage outcomes. This creates a real-time market for predicting the total rushing yards in the game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, based on the collective actions of all traders. Higher demand for a particular outcome will drive up its price, while lower demand will cause it to fall. This process ensures the market dynamically adjusts to new information and reflects the latest expectations.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yardage statistics from the Kansas City Chiefs versus Denver Broncos game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final rushing yardage totals for both teams will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The market will settle based on the official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders should monitor official sources for the final game results to understand the outcome of this market.
Numerous factors could influence this market leading up to its resolution around Nov 2, 2026. Updates on the health status of key players, particularly running backs and offensive linemen for both teams, will be closely watched. Changes in coaching strategies or personnel decisions could also shift expectations. Furthermore, any significant news regarding the teams’ offensive line performance or the opposing defenses’ run-stopping abilities could impact trading activity. Unexpected weather forecasts for the game day could also play a role, potentially favoring a run-focused game plan.