TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 7:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks individual player performance in an upcoming football game, focusing on specific rushing yard thresholds for various participants. Each outcome represents a different player achieving a particular rushing yard milestone during the match.
All markets refer to the Kansas City vs Denver professional football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. Each market resolves to Yes if the specified player records the corresponding rushing yard threshold during the game. If a player is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before game start. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if nullified by penalty—the market settles based on the actual rushing yards recorded. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the opinions of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price will move accordingly. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply a broader range of perspectives represented in the prediction market. It’s common to see the market odds converge with sportsbook odds as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different rushing yard totals. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that specific outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the likely rushing yardage. The market depth, displayed on the dashboard, shows the available contracts at different price points, giving you a sense of the demand and supply for each outcome. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market remains responsive to new information.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final rushing yard totals for the Kansas City and Denver game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The official NFL statistics will be used to determine the total rushing yards achieved by both teams. The market will settle to 100 if the actual total rushing yards fall within the range defined by the contracts available for purchase. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct rushing yard range will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for incorrect ranges will not.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Injury reports for key running backs on either team are significant catalysts, as they directly impact the expected rushing yardage. Weather conditions, particularly if there's heavy rain or snow, could favor a more passing-oriented game plan, reducing rushing attempts. Changes in coaching strategy or unexpected player performance in the days leading up to the game could also shift the market. Finally, any news regarding team matchups or defensive adjustments could lead traders to reassess their predictions and adjust their positions in this market.