TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 7:45 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting whether specific players will receive a certain number of rushing attempts in an upcoming football game. Outcomes depend entirely on game-day performance metrics, with settlements based on official statistics.
All markets resolve based on the number of rushing attempts recorded by designated players during the Kansas City vs Denver Pro Football game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. A rushing attempt is counted whenever a player carries the ball past the line of scrimmage, regardless of yardage or game context. If a player is active but never takes a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before kickoff. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by penalty—the market resolves strictly according to the actual rushing attempts recorded during the game. All outcomes are determined exclusively by official game statistics, with no adjustments for injuries, coaching decisions, or post-game revisions.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house biases or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market’s pricing is purely driven by individuals willing to buy or sell based on their own analysis. While both attempt to forecast the same event, the mechanisms are distinct, and discrepancies can arise. It’s common to see this market incorporate information and insights that aren’t immediately reflected in traditional betting lines.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of rushing attempts by both the Kansas City Chiefs and the Denver Broncos will be sourced from official game statistics. The market will settle to reflect the actual total rushing attempts, as recorded by the official game data. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Injury reports for key running backs on either team would be a major catalyst, as would any changes to offensive play-calling strategies. Weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to be unfavorable for running, could also shift the market. Late-breaking news regarding player availability or tactical adjustments, along with any updates from team practices, could all influence trader sentiment and lead to price movements in this market. Game script – whether a team is expected to be leading or trailing – will also play a role.