TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 7:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of specific players in an upcoming football game between Kansas City and Denver. Participants bet on whether the designated player will accumulate a certain level of receiving yards during the match. Payouts vary based on the exact yardage achieved, creating a dynamic way to engage with player statistics.
The event features two separate markets focused on the receiving yards of Travis Kelce and Kenneth Walker III in the Kansas City vs Denver Pro Football game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. Each market operates as a scalar betting structure where Yes contracts pay $0.0025 per receiving yard recorded by the respective player, up to a maximum payout of $1.00, corresponding to a cap of 400 yards. No contracts pay $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Payouts are proportional to the holder's position size and constrained between $0.00 and $1.00. For instance, if a player records 80 receiving yards, the Yes payout would be $0.20 and the No payout $0.80; 200 yards would result in equal $0.50 payouts for both Yes and No contracts, while zero yards would pay $0.00 for Yes and $1.00 for No. The structure ensures that payouts adjust dynamically based on actual performance, with Kalshi emphasizing it is not affiliated with the NFL.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to balance their risk, while this market aggregates the diverse perspectives of many traders. Over time, prediction markets have demonstrated a strong ability to forecast outcomes accurately, sometimes surpassing the accuracy of traditional polls or expert analyses. It’s common to see this market adjust rapidly as new information emerges, potentially leading to odds that diverge from, or converge with, those offered by sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different receiving yardage thresholds. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability that the corresponding outcome will occur. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective belief. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment, making it a responsive indicator of potential outcomes for the Chiefs-Broncos receiving yards.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yardage statistics for the Kansas City Chiefs versus Denver Broncos game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the officially recorded receiving yards for each player involved in the market. The final prices on Kalshi will reflect the actual results of the game, determining which contracts pay out and at what value. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and their resulting profits or losses after the official data is available.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Injury reports for key wide receivers and tight ends on both the Chiefs and the Broncos would be major catalysts, as would changes in weather forecasts for the game day. Unexpected starting quarterback changes or shifts in offensive play-calling strategies could also influence trading activity. News regarding player matchups or defensive schemes could also move the market. Finally, any significant public sentiment shifts, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media trends, could lead to changes in volume and pricing on Kalshi.