TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 7:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of specific players in an upcoming football game between Kansas City and Denver. Contracts will pay out based on the receiving yards each player accumulates during the game, with higher yardage leading to increased returns. The structure incentivizes participants to assess player performance and yardage potential.
Contracts in this event pay out based on the receiving yards accumulated by designated players in the specified Kansas City vs Denver football game. Each Yes contract’s payout increases incrementally with every 10 receiving yards the player achieves, following a predefined schedule that caps at $1.00 for 200 or more yards. The payout formula uses a cubic function of the yardage ratio, scaled to a maximum of $1.00. No contracts pay the difference between $1.00 and the Yes payout. If a player records negative receiving yards, Yes contracts pay $0.00. Payouts are calculated based on official game statistics, and the market resolves to Yes upon confirmation of the game’s final score and yardage totals. The structure ensures that returns reflect both the magnitude and precision of yardage achievements, with diminishing returns as yardage increases.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing expectations. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's depth and liquidity, indicated by the trading volume, influence how efficiently prices reflect available information. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yardage statistics for the Chiefs-Broncos game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final receiving yards totals for all eligible players will be used to determine the winning contract. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure an objective and transparent outcome. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi following the completion of the game and verification of the results.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key wide receivers or tight ends on either the Chiefs or the Broncos would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions that favor passing or running, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic shifts announced before the game could also move the market. Finally, any late-breaking news about player matchups or defensive schemes could lead to adjustments in the perceived probabilities of different outcomes.