TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 8:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks specific player performance metrics in an upcoming professional football game. It focuses on whether certain athletes achieve predetermined receiving yard thresholds during the match. The outcome depends solely on the players' statistical accomplishments, not the overall game result.
All markets share consistent protective and settlement provisions. Contracts are designated as protected, meaning if a player participates in at least one play during the first half but none after (including overtime), the contract resolves to the pre-game fair price unless the player meets the yardage threshold, in which case it settles based on actual statistics. Participation in a play nullified by penalty does not count, and players who never participate are subject to the fair price non-participation rule. All yardage calculations include overtime periods. The protected designation applies exclusively to full-game contracts with 'at least' payout criteria. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks often incorporate biases or seek to balance their risk, while this market aggregates the diverse perspectives of many traders. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – both prediction markets and sportsbooks will adjust their odds. However, prediction markets have demonstrated a tendency to be more accurate than traditional polls or expert forecasts in predicting the outcome of events like this one.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As traders place orders, the prices adjust dynamically, creating a real-time indication of market sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more demand there is for a particular outcome, the higher its price will climb, and vice versa. This mechanism allows for a fluid and responsive pricing system based on collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final receiving yardage totals for the Chiefs and Broncos will be sourced from official game statistics. The market will determine which outcome – based on total receiving yards – corresponds to the actual game results. This process ensures a transparent and objective resolution based on publicly available data, providing clarity on the market’s final settlement.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key wide receivers or tight ends on either team – such as injuries, changes in playing time, or favorable/unfavorable matchups – would likely cause price fluctuations. Weather conditions, particularly strong winds or heavy rain, could affect passing games and, consequently, receiving yardage totals. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in offensive strategies could also influence trader behavior and move this market. Finally, late-breaking news about player availability will likely have a substantial effect.