TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 7:45 PM EST
Kalshi
The event tracks specific player performance metrics in an upcoming football game, focusing on whether certain athletes achieve predetermined receiving yard thresholds. Each market evaluates a different player's ability to surpass a particular yardage mark during the match. Outcomes are determined purely by the players' statistical performance, without influence from external betting activities.
All markets refer to the Kansas City vs Denver Pro Football game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. Each market resolves to Yes if the specified player records the stated receiving yard threshold (e.g., 10+, 15+, up to 120+ yards). If a player is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before game start. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if nullified by penalty—the market settles based strictly on the receiving yards actually recorded during the game. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis beyond what’s readily available in traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks may initially set odds based on power rankings and expert opinions, but this market allows a broader range of participants to weigh in, potentially leading to more accurate predictions as new information emerges. It's common to see differences, especially as the event approaches and more data becomes available, as this market reacts to news and sentiment differently than a traditional bookmaker. This can provide a valuable comparative view for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective belief. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe an outcome is likely, they'll bid up the price of the corresponding contract, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yardage totals for the Chiefs and Broncos game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final receiving yardage statistics, as reported by official sources, will determine which outcomes pay out and at what value. Traders who correctly predicted the receiving yardage ranges will receive payouts based on the contract prices at the time of resolution. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key wide receivers or tight ends on either the Chiefs or the Broncos would likely cause substantial price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions for passing, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in offensive strategies could also play a role. Finally, late-breaking news about player matchups or defensive schemes could lead to adjustments in the perceived probabilities of different receiving yardage outcomes.