TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 5:37 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which team will be the first to reach 14 points in an upcoming professional football game. It captures the dynamic nature of the contest by focusing on early scoring momentum rather than the final outcome. The resolution depends purely on the in-game progression of points.
The event determines whether Denver, Kansas City, or neither team will be the first to score 14 points in the Pro Football game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. If either Denver or Kansas City reaches 14 points first during the full game, including any overtime periods, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should neither team achieve this milestone, the Neither Team market resolves to Yes. Postponements are handled such that if the game starts within 48 hours of its original time, trading continues and resolves based on the final result. If the game does not commence within this window, the market resolves to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under varying scheduling circumstances.
Generally, prediction markets like Kalshi often reflect information and insights different from those captured in traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Therefore, discrepancies can arise based on differing analyses of team performance, injuries, and other relevant factors. It’s not unusual to see this market diverge from sportsbook lines, particularly as new information becomes available leading up to the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each team reaching 14 points first. The price of a contract reflects the market's assessment of that outcome's likelihood; a higher price indicates a greater perceived chance of success. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts as traders react to news, analysis, and each other's trades, creating a constantly updated forecast. The current price is driven by supply and demand, with traders effectively betting on their predictions.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team, Kansas City or Denver, officially reaches 14 points first during the game. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and scoring as reported by recognized sports data providers. The platform will verify the result against these sources to ensure an accurate and transparent resolution process.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Kansas City or Denver would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in quarterback performance, unexpected coaching decisions, or even weather conditions impacting the game could all shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, significant betting activity—a large volume of contracts traded in one direction—could also move the market. As the game approaches, any updates on team strategies or predicted matchups will be closely watched by traders and reflected in the prices.