TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 7:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether specific players will achieve a rushing distance beyond set thresholds in an upcoming football game. Each participant's performance is evaluated individually, focusing on their longest single rush during the match. The outcome depends on whether any of the named players meet or exceed their respective yardage benchmarks.
The event evaluates multiple individual player performances within a single football game to determine if any participant records a longest rush exceeding their specified yardage threshold. For each player market, if the athlete records a rush longer than the stated threshold during the game, that specific market resolves to Yes. If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game begins. Once a player takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolution is based on the longest rush recorded for that player during the game. All markets are independent, and the resolution of one does not affect the others. The governing league’s official statistics will be used to determine the longest rush, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league, with all trademarks remaining the property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about which player will have the longest rush. As more people buy a contract for a particular player, the price increases, reflecting a higher probability of that outcome. Conversely, selling contracts drives the price down. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each contract represents the implied probability of that player having the longest rush, allowing traders to express their views and profit from correctly anticipating the outcome. The current market reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The player with the longest single rushing attempt during the Kansas City versus Denver game will be declared the winner. Official NFL game statistics will be used to determine the longest rush. The resolution will be based on the official game data, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all traders participating in this market. Any ties will be handled according to Kalshi’s market rules.
Several factors could influence the price movement in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions could all impact trader sentiment. A key player being ruled out due to injury would likely shift probabilities towards other players. Pre-game analysis from sports analysts and updated player statistics could also drive trading activity. Unexpected announcements about playing time or changes in offensive schemes could also lead to significant price fluctuations in this market as traders adjust their predictions.