TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 7:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether specific players achieve a longest reception exceeding set yardage thresholds in an upcoming football game between Kansas City and Denver. Each player's performance is evaluated independently, focusing on the distance of their farthest catch during the match. The outcome depends on whether these athletes meet or surpass their respective yardage benchmarks.
The event determines if designated players record a longest reception exceeding specified yardage thresholds in the Kansas City vs Denver Pro Football game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. For each player market, if the athlete records a reception longer than the stated threshold, that market resolves to Yes. If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves based on the actual longest reception recorded during the game. These rules apply separately to each player’s market, with all markets operating independently.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each player, and the price of each contract reflects the market's assessment of that player’s probability of having the longest reception. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by factors such as player news, injury reports, and overall game analysis, creating a dynamic and responsive pricing mechanism.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official game statistics, specifically identifying the player with the longest single reception during the Kansas City versus Denver game. The official NFL game logs will serve as the definitive source for determining the longest reception and settling this market. Traders should monitor the game closely as it progresses to understand how the outcome is unfolding.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, particularly to key wide receivers for either team, would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather conditions, such as strong winds, could also influence the likelihood of long pass plays. Unexpected starting lineup changes or reports on player matchups could also move the market. Finally, as the game approaches, any late-breaking news or analysis from football experts could shift trader sentiment and impact prices.