TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Sports
Kansas City vs Denver: Passing Touchdowns
kalshi

What is the result of Kansas City vs Denver?

Volume:
$6,256

Bo Nix: 1+

 - Kalshi

Bo Nix: 1+ - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 1, 2026

Closed: Nov 1, 5:57 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Bo Nix: 1+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,255
N/A
N/A
$3,255
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Bo Nix: 2+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,293
N/A
N/A
$1,115
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Patrick Mahomes: 2+

100%
62%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,041
N/A
N/A
$914
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Patrick Mahomes: 3+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$213
N/A
N/A
$179
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Patrick Mahomes: 1+

100%
23%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$108
N/A
N/A
$108
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Bo Nix: 3+

0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$337
N/A
N/A
$323
Settled
No
kalshi

Patrick Mahomes: 4+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8
N/A
N/A
$8
Settled
No
kalshi

Bo Nix: 4+

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 8

Description

This event tracks the performance of a specific quarterback in an upcoming football game between two teams. It focuses on how many passing touchdowns the quarterback achieves during the full match, including any overtime periods. The outcome depends solely on the quarterback's ability to meet or exceed designated passing touchdown thresholds.

Kalshi

These markets resolve based on the number of passing touchdowns thrown by Bo Nix in the Kansas City vs Denver Pro Football game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, with separate thresholds for 1+, 2+, 3+, and 4+ touchdowns. All contracts are designated as 'protected,' meaning if Bo Nix participates in at least one play during the first half but does not participate in any play after the first half (including overtime), the contract resolves to the fair price set before the game’s kickoff—unless he meets or exceeds the required touchdown threshold, in which case it settles based on actual statistics. If Bo Nix participates in any play after the first half, the contract settles based on actual statistics regardless of first-half participation. Participation in a play nullified by penalty does not count, and a player who never participates is subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies only to full-game contracts with an above or at-least payout criterion, and this event includes overtime statistics.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Chiefs vs Broncos passing market tracks the current odds for how many passing touchdowns will be scored in the game. You can view the price history, which shows how the odds have changed over time, and the 24-hour volume, indicating how much trading activity has occurred recently. Currently, the total volume for this market is $6,256 and the 24-hour volume is $6,172. This provides a snapshot of market sentiment and allows you to see how others are predicting the game's outcome.

Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning closely with sportsbook odds but sometimes diverging based on unique information or perspectives held by traders. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing or overvaluing a particular outcome, the odds in this market will adjust accordingly, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sports betting venues. This can sometimes lead to more accurate predictions.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of the corresponding contract will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to accurately reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd.

This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of passing touchdowns scored in the Kansas City Chiefs versus Denver Broncos game will be used to determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the verified results of the game.

Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries to quarterbacks or wide receivers on either team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions for passing, could also shift the odds. Furthermore, late-breaking reports about team strategies or coaching decisions could prompt traders to reassess their predictions. Public sentiment, as reflected in sports news and social media, can also play a role in influencing trading activity and, consequently, the market price.