TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 7:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks passing interceptions for specific quarterbacks in an upcoming football game between Kansas City and Denver. The outcome depends on whether the designated players record a certain number of interceptions during the match. Markets adjust based on player participation and in-game performance.
The event resolves based on whether specified quarterbacks, Bo Nix and Patrick Mahomes, record a defined minimum number of passing interceptions in the Kansas City vs Denver Pro Football game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. Each market corresponds to a particular player and a threshold of interceptions (1+, 2+, or 3+). If either player is active for the game but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—including snaps nullified by penalty—the market resolves strictly according to the actual number of interceptions recorded during the game. All markets are independent and evaluated separately, with resolution contingent on the exact interception counts for each specified player and threshold. The operator explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public opinion shifts. Analyzing these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making, but remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where buyers and sellers set the price of contracts. Each contract represents a specific outcome – in this case, the number of passing interceptions. As more people buy contracts predicting a certain number of interceptions, the price of those contracts increases, and vice-versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the collective assessment of traders regarding the likelihood of that outcome occurring during the game. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and trading activity.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final number of passing interceptions thrown during the Kansas City Chiefs versus Denver Broncos game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, and the market will settle to reflect the actual number of interceptions thrown. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence this market before the game concludes. News regarding the quarterbacks’ health or recent performance, changes in weather conditions (like strong winds that could affect passing accuracy), or even strategic adjustments announced by either team’s coaching staff could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected injuries to key receivers or defensive players known for generating interceptions could also significantly impact the price of contracts in this market. Monitoring these developments is crucial for understanding potential market movements.