TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Sports
Kansas City vs Denver: Passing Attempts
kalshi

What is the result of Kansas City vs Denver?

Volume:
$16,863

Patrick Mahomes: 34+

 - Kalshi

Patrick Mahomes: 34+ - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 1, 2026

Closed: Nov 1, 7:14 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Patrick Mahomes: 34+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,096
N/A
N/A
$5,584
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Patrick Mahomes: 29+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,646
N/A
N/A
$5,644
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Patrick Mahomes: 39+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,603
N/A
N/A
$1,196
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Bo Nix: 29+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,333
N/A
N/A
$1,333
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Bo Nix: 34+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,355
N/A
N/A
$1,246
Settled
No
kalshi

Bo Nix: 39+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$830
N/A
N/A
$830
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This set of markets tracks the number of passing attempts made by specific quarterbacks in an upcoming football game between Kansas City and Denver. The outcomes depend on whether the designated players meet or exceed certain thresholds of pass attempts during the contest.

Kalshi

These markets resolve based on the total number of passing attempts recorded by the specified quarterbacks, Bo Nix and Patrick Mahomes, during the Kansas City vs Denver Pro Football game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. Each market has a defined threshold (29+, 34+, or 39+ passing attempts); if the player meets or exceeds their respective threshold, the market resolves to Yes, otherwise No. A key secondary rule applies uniformly: if a quarterback is active for the game but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. However, once a quarterback takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market settles strictly based on the actual number of passing attempts recorded during the game. This ensures that markets reflect real in-game performance once play begins, while protecting against uncertainty when a player is present but does not participate.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Chiefs vs Broncos passing market displays the current prices for various outcomes related to the total passing attempts in the game. You’ll find a price history chart showing how the probabilities have shifted over time, as well as the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $14,943. The total volume traded on this market is $16,863. This allows traders to gauge market sentiment and identify potential opportunities based on how others are valuing different scenarios for passing attempts in this matchup.

Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks often incorporate biases or seek to balance their risk, while this market aggregates the diverse perspectives of many traders. If there’s a significant discrepancy, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular outcome. However, as game day approaches, sportsbook odds will typically adjust to align more closely with the collective prediction reflected in this market.

This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official game statistics are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final passing attempt total, as recorded by official sources, will determine which outcome corresponds to the actual result. The market will settle to 100 for the correct outcome, and 0 for all others. Traders holding contracts for the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for losing outcomes will forfeit their investment.

Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key quarterbacks or wide receivers on either team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they indicate strong winds or heavy rain, could also affect the expected passing volume. Late-breaking reports about coaching strategies or adjustments to offensive schemes could also shift market sentiment. Finally, as the game draws closer, any public statements from players or coaches regarding their game plan could move this market.