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OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
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Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 7:41 PM EST
Kalshi
A professional football match between Kansas City and Denver is scheduled for November 1, 2026. The outcome is determined by whether the contest requires additional periods to break a stalemate after the initial playing time concludes.
If the Kansas City vs Denver Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026 goes to overtime, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can often differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own analysis and information. As a result, you may find that the implied probability of overtime in this game, as reflected by Kalshi’s prices, diverges from what sportsbooks are offering. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing a 'yes' or 'no' outcome – in this case, whether the Kansas City Chiefs versus Denver Broncos game goes to overtime. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand. Higher demand for 'yes' contracts drives the price up, indicating a greater perceived probability of overtime. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the collective beliefs of all participants.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether the Kansas City Chiefs versus Denver Broncos game officially goes to overtime, as determined by the official game results. The final score and official game statistics will be used to verify the outcome. Traders holding contracts on the winning side will receive a payout, while those on the losing side will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Chiefs or the Broncos would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is predicted, could also shift expectations. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale might also move the market. Furthermore, as the game approaches, any shifts in public sentiment, reflected in betting trends or expert analysis, could influence trading activity and alter the price of contracts in this market.