TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 7:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates individual player and team defensive performances in an upcoming football game, focusing on whether specified athletes or units achieve certain fantasy point thresholds. The outcomes depend on detailed statistical contributions across various in-game activities, measured by a standardized fantasy-point system. All calculations follow consistent rules for point allocation and resolution.
All markets resolve based on fantasy points accumulated by specified players or team defense units during the full game (including overtime) between Kansas City and Denver, using Sleeper’s default full-PPR scoring system. A "Yes" outcome occurs when the designated participant exceeds their respective point threshold. Players who do not participate or lack a published fantasy-point value are considered to have scored zero points. The official fantasy-point totals from Sleeper at expiration are used without post-expiration adjustments or rounding. The scoring system awards points for passing, rushing, receiving, kicking, defensive/special teams plays, and team defensive performance, with specific values assigned to yards gained, touchdowns, interceptions, sacks, field goals, and defensive outcomes. Negative points apply for interceptions thrown, missed kicks, fumbles lost, and allowing excessive points by the defense. All markets are independent but share the same game context and scoring methodology.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house biases and initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance betting action, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the likelihood of different fantasy point totals. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on the expected outcome of the Kansas City vs Denver game.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final fantasy point totals for the Kansas City vs Denver game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on officially recorded fantasy point data from a major fantasy sports provider. The market will determine which prediction about the total fantasy points scored was the most accurate, based on the official game statistics. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts settled accordingly.
Several factors could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Kansas City or Denver teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in player matchups, weather forecasts, or even late-breaking reports about team strategies could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in previous games, or adjustments to fantasy point scoring rules, could also impact the market. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.