TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 7:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This event links financial outcomes to the performance of specific players in an upcoming football game, where payouts scale with each player's fantasy points. Participants can bet on whether a player's performance will yield a higher or lower return based on predefined calculations. The structure ensures that total payouts for each contract always sum to $1.00.
Contracts in this event resolve based on the Points Per Reception (PPR) fantasy-point totals of designated players—Bo Nix, Patrick Mahomes, and Kenneth Walker III—during the Kansas City vs Denver Pro Football game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. For each player, the Yes contract pays $0.01 per fantasy point scored, rounded to the nearest cent with half cents rounded up, and capped between $0.00 and $1.00. The No contract pays $1.00 minus the Yes payout. If a player’s fantasy points are not recorded by Sleeper, they are considered to have scored 0.0 points, resulting in a Yes payout of $0.00 and a No payout of $1.00. Payouts are proportional to the holder’s position size, ensuring that the combined Yes and No payouts for any contract always equal $1.00.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning buyers and sellers set the prices through their bids and asks. Contracts representing different outcomes in the Kansas City vs Denver game are traded, and the price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of its probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price moves based on supply and demand – if more people believe an outcome is likely, the price of that contract will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time estimate of the event’s potential outcomes.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final fantasy football ladder results for the Kansas City vs Denver game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will reflect the actual performance of players in the game as calculated by standard fantasy football scoring rules. The market will determine which contracts payout based on these verified results, and payouts will be distributed to contract holders accordingly. No further information is available regarding the specifics of outcome verification.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather forecasts could shift perceptions of the likely outcomes. Unexpected performance in other games leading up to the Kansas City vs Denver game might also impact the market, as it could affect player matchups and overall team dynamics. Significant shifts in public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, could also drive trading volume and price fluctuations in this market.