TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 7:41 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the total points scored by both Kansas City and Denver teams during the final quarter of their scheduled football game on November 1, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of points, allowing participants to assess varying levels of scoring intensity in the last quarter of play.
All markets resolve based on the combined points scored by both Kansas City and Denver during the 4th quarter of their Pro Football game scheduled for November 1, 2026, excluding any points scored in overtime. Each market has a specific threshold: if the total points exceed that threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The thresholds range from 3.5 to 24.5 points, offering multiple levels of scoring expectations. Only points scored during regulation time of the 4th quarter count, and the markets are independent of each other, meaning each threshold must be evaluated separately.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs about the likely outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. Analyzing these differences can offer insights into where public opinion diverges from professional analysis regarding the final score of the 4th quarter between the Chiefs and the Broncos.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of the 4th quarter total being over or under the listed value. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective expectation. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and changing sentiment regarding the Chiefs-Broncos game.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the 4th quarter between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Denver Broncos is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, and the market will pay out to those who correctly predicted whether the total points scored in the 4th quarter will be over or under the specified number. It’s important to note that the official game results are the sole determinant of the market’s outcome.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Chiefs or the Broncos would likely cause price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable for high or low scoring, could also influence trading activity. In-game events during the first three quarters, such as a dominant performance by one team’s offense or a series of turnovers, could lead to substantial shifts in the market as traders adjust their expectations for the 4th quarter total.