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Kansas City vs Denver: 4th Quarter Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Kansas City vs Denver?

Volume:
$67,505

Denver wins by over 10.5 points

 - Kalshi

Denver wins by over 10.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 1, 2026

Closed: Nov 1, 7:41 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Denver wins by over 10.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$13,199
N/A
N/A
$10,731
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Denver wins by over 2.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$12,314
N/A
N/A
$10,238
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Denver wins by over 6.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,259
N/A
N/A
$1,833
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Denver wins by over 7.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,029
N/A
N/A
$3,756
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Denver wins by over 14.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,250
N/A
N/A
$3,061
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Denver wins by over 3.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,090
N/A
N/A
$886
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kansas City wins by over 3.5 points

View
0%
32%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,982
N/A
N/A
$15,897
Settled
No
kalshi

Kansas City wins by over 1.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,102
N/A
N/A
$8,832
Settled
No
kalshi

Kansas City wins by over 2.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,413
N/A
N/A
$2,231
Settled
No
kalshi

Kansas City wins by over 6.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,508
N/A
N/A
$1,508
Settled
No
kalshi

Kansas City wins by over 7.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$268
N/A
N/A
$268
Settled
No
kalshi

Kansas City wins by over 10.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$93
N/A
N/A
$91
Settled
No
kalshi

Denver wins by over 17.5 points

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either Kansas City or Denver specifically within the final quarter of their scheduled football game. Each market corresponds to a different point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the outcome to be considered valid.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the point differential achieved by either Kansas City or Denver during the 4th quarter of the game, with overtime points excluded from consideration. Each market specifies a unique threshold that the winning team must surpass for a 'Yes' resolution. For Kansas City markets, thresholds range from overcoming a 1.5-point deficit to exceeding a 10.5-point deficit. Conversely, Denver markets range from overcoming a 2.5-point deficit to exceeding a 10.5-point deficit. The outcome hinges exclusively on the net points scored during regulation time of the 4th quarter, with no regard to the game's overall result or points accumulated in earlier quarters.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NFL spread market tracks the current price of contracts representing predictions on the 4th quarter spread between Kansas City and Denver. You’ll find a price history chart showing how the market has moved over time, as well as the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $27,800. The total volume traded on this market is $66,597. This allows traders to gauge market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities related to the game’s final spread.

Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than initial sportsbook lines or even expert analysis. Sportsbooks set their lines to attract balanced betting, incorporating a profit margin, while this market represents what traders collectively believe will happen. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of both markets. It’s common to see this market adjust rapidly to news or late-breaking information that impacts perceptions of the game’s likely outcome.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the 4th quarter spread. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that spread occurring. As more traders buy contracts predicting a specific spread, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, constantly updating as new information becomes available and traders adjust their positions.

This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final 4th quarter spread of the Kansas City versus Denver game will be used to determine which contracts payout. The resolution will be based on the official game results as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will not.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team, particularly the quarterback or key defensive players, would likely cause movement. Changes in weather forecasts, especially if they suggest conditions favoring one team’s style of play, could also shift the market. Late-breaking news about team strategy or coaching decisions could also influence trader sentiment. Finally, large volume trades from informed participants could create short-term price fluctuations as well.