TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 6:26 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the combined scoring performance of two teams during a specific quarter of a professional football game. It focuses on whether the total points accumulated by both teams exceed certain thresholds, providing insight into the scoring pace and intensity of that quarter.
The event evaluates multiple outcome thresholds for the total points scored by both Kansas City and Denver in the second quarter of their scheduled game on Nov 1, 2026. Each threshold represents a distinct level of scoring performance, ranging from modest to exceptionally high point totals. All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second quarter of play, with no consideration for points from other quarters or game phases. The resolution hinges on whether the combined score surpasses each specified threshold, allowing participants to assess varying levels of offensive output.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individuals. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Polls and analysts often predict a similar range of outcomes, but this market provides a continuously updated probability based on actual money at stake.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the actual 2nd quarter total will be above or below a certain threshold. As more traders participate, the price of these contracts fluctuates, reflecting the evolving probability of different outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price represents the market's consensus expectation, with higher prices indicating a greater likelihood of a higher total score in the 2nd quarter.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official total points scored in the 2nd quarter of the Kansas City Chiefs versus Denver Broncos game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will be sourced from official game statistics, and the market will settle based on whether the actual total exceeds or falls short of the threshold determined by the contract prices at resolution. Traders will be paid out according to their positions in the market.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Chiefs or the Broncos would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable for high or low scoring, could also impact trading activity. Game-day developments, such as early scoring drives or defensive adjustments, will also be closely watched by traders and could lead to rapid price fluctuations in this market. Unexpected coaching decisions could also play a role.