TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 7:41 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points in the second half of an upcoming football game between Kansas City and Denver. It considers points scored from the start of the third quarter through the end of regulation time and any overtime periods, with a tie resulting if both teams finish the half with equal scores.
If Denver wins the 2nd Half (including overtime) of the Kansas City vs Denver Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kansas City wins the 2nd Half (including overtime) of the Kansas City vs Denver Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 2nd Half (including overtime) of the Kansas City vs Denver Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the predictions of many individuals. If a significant number of people believe one team will win the second half, the odds on Kalshi will shift accordingly, potentially diverging from initial sportsbook lines. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public opinion changes leading up to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome – in this case, which team wins the second half, or a tie. The price of each contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and place bets, the prices adjust to reflect the collective expectation. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and changing sentiment, offering a real-time assessment of the likely winner.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Kansas City vs Denver game’s second half will be used to determine the winning contract. The platform will verify the official results and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the winner. It’s important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available and widely accepted sources for the game’s outcome.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Kansas City or Denver teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also shift the odds. In-game performance during the first half, such as a dominant showing by one team, could also cause traders to reassess their predictions. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments could also move this market as traders react to new information.