TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 5:25 PM EST
Kalshi
The outcome hinges on whether both teams score points during the first quarter of the Pro Football game between Kansas City and Denver. All types of scoring plays are considered, but only points scored in the initial quarter of regulation matter for this market.
If Kansas City and Denver both score points in the 1st quarter of the Kansas City vs Denver Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook line is inaccurate, the price here will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly when public opinion strongly deviates from the sportsbook’s initial assessment. Analyzing these differences can reveal valuable insights into the perceived probability of the event occurring.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of 'Both teams to score in the 1st quarter'. As more people buy contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling contracts lowers the price. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the current consensus of all participants, making it a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event’s likelihood. This differs from fixed-odds betting, where the odds are set in advance and don't change based on subsequent trading activity.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on whether both the Kansas City Chiefs and the Denver Broncos score at least one point during the first quarter of the game. The final result will be determined by official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts settled based on whether their prediction aligned with the actual game outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Injury reports for key offensive players on either team would certainly have an impact, as would any significant changes in weather conditions. Unexpected news regarding team strategy or coaching decisions could also shift trader sentiment. Even public perception, driven by media coverage or social media trends, can play a role. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to capitalize on potential price movements in this market.