TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 6:19 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either Kansas City or Denver during the first half of their scheduled football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the outcome to be considered valid.
All markets resolve based solely on the point differential in the first half of the Kansas City vs Denver Pro Football game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the winning team meets or exceeds the specified point margin outlined in the respective market—ranging from over 2.5 points to over 10.5 points for either team. Only points scored during the first half are considered; any points from the second half are irrelevant. The markets cover various thresholds for both teams, allowing participants to bet on different levels of dominance in the opening half. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and perspectives that traditional sportsbooks might miss. While sportsbook odds are set by professionals, this market allows anyone to participate and express their beliefs about the outcome. Often, you’ll find that prediction markets are more accurate than traditional polls or expert forecasts, as they incentivize participants to be well-informed. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes offer more favorable value depending on the specific event and market conditions.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread for the first half of the Kansas City versus Denver game will be used to determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official results reported by the NFL, ensuring a transparent and accurate outcome. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the resolution is finalized on Kalshi.
Several factors could influence this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Kansas City or Denver would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions impacting the passing game, could also shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team morale might also play a role. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself, driven by informed traders, could quickly alter the price and reflect changing expectations about the game’s outcome.