TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 5:57 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting which Denver player or unit will score the first touchdown in an upcoming football game against Kansas City. Each market corresponds to a specific player or the defensive unit, with outcomes determined by who crosses the goal line first for Denver.
Each market resolves based on whether the specified Denver player or unit scores the first touchdown of the game. If the designated player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price before kickoff. Once a player takes a snap, the market outcome depends solely on whether they score the first touchdown for Denver. If no Denver touchdowns are scored during the game, the 'No Touchdown' market resolves to Yes, and all individual player markets resolve to No. These rules apply uniformly across all player-specific and defensive unit markets, ensuring consistent resolution criteria for each potential scorer.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own research and beliefs. If a significant number of people believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when new information emerges or public sentiment shifts, potentially offering value to informed traders.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, following the conclusion of the game between Kansas City and Denver. The outcome will be determined by which player officially scores the first touchdown for Denver, as verified against credible public reporting from official game sources. The resolution will reflect the official game statistics and play-by-play records. Any scoring plays subject to review will be settled based on the final ruling of the game officials. The market will then be settled based on the player who is officially credited with the first touchdown.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Injury reports for key Denver offensive players, particularly running backs and wide receivers, would be significant catalysts. Any news regarding changes to the team’s offensive strategy or play-calling could also shift expectations. Weather conditions on game day, such as heavy rain or wind, might affect the likelihood of certain players being targeted. Finally, general news and analysis surrounding the matchup between Kansas City and Denver, and the perceived strengths and weaknesses of each team’s defense, could all contribute to price movements.