TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 7:37 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Kansas City will win its November 1, 2026, professional football game against Denver. Currently, the probability of Kansas City winning on Kalshi is 77.0%, while Denver winning is at 23.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Kansas City vs Denver Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, as determined by the official game results. Keep a close eye on the game itself, as the result on November 1, 2026, will determine the market’s resolution.
The market resolves based on the winning team of the Kansas City vs Denver Pro Football game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. If Denver wins, the Denver market resolves to Yes; if Kansas City wins, the Kansas City market resolves to Yes. A tie results in $0.50 for each market. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of the original time, the market stays open to resolve according to the final result. If the game fails to start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi emphasizes no official connection with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the nature of how each venue operates. If you find a significant difference between the implied probability here and sportsbook odds, it might indicate an opportunity for value, or simply a differing assessment of the event's likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes, and the price of each contract determines the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, signaling a higher perceived chance of success. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and order book are visible on the platform, allowing you to see the current bid and ask prices, and the volume available at each price level. This dynamic pricing mechanism reflects real-time sentiment.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Kansas City vs Denver event. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final contract price at resolution. It's important to monitor news sources and official announcements as the event approaches to stay informed about any potential factors that could influence the resolution process.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected weather conditions could all shift trader sentiment. Major announcements about team performance or public perception could also influence the market. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Kalshi could create momentum and drive price movements. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in the market's implied probabilities.