TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 5:11 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Kansas City and Dallas, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It considers different thresholds for how many goals the winning team scores beyond the opponent. The result is determined solely by regular time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates multiple possible outcomes of the Kansas City versus Dallas professional MLS soccer match scheduled for October 31, 2026, based on the goal differential after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Four distinct conditions are assessed: Kansas City winning by more than 2.5 goals, Kansas City winning by more than 1.5 goals, Dallas winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Dallas winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each condition represents a separate resolution criterion for the respective market. If any of these specific conditions are met, the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes'. The rules clarify that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to be more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, particularly in the lead-up to an event. This is because prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of the crowd, incorporating a wider range of information and perspectives. While sportsbooks may initially set lines based on power rankings and expert analysis, this market reflects real-money sentiment and adjusts dynamically as new information emerges. However, sportsbook odds are often more readily available and may offer different types of wagers not found here.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived chance. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume influence how quickly the price adjusts to new information. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded, and inaccurate ones are penalized. This dynamic process leads to a constantly evolving assessment of the likely spread in the Kansas City versus Dallas game.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final spread will be determined by the official result of the Kansas City versus Dallas game. The market will settle based on whether Dallas wins by more than the spread, or if Kansas City covers. The final score, as reported by official sources, will be used to determine the winning contracts in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 31, 2026. Any significant news regarding player injuries to key players on either team, such as the quarterback or star receiver, would likely cause a shift in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact the market. Furthermore, any unexpected developments related to team strategy or coaching decisions could influence trader sentiment and lead to price movements. Public perception, reflected in polls and media coverage, can also play a role.