TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 5:08 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional MLS soccer match between Kansas City and Dallas. The result is determined solely by the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. The market accounts for possible tie outcomes and handles game cancellations or significant rescheduling with fair pricing adjustments.
The event determines the winner of the Kansas City versus Dallas professional MLS soccer match originally scheduled for October 31, 2026, based exclusively on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty shootouts. Three distinct markets correspond to possible outcomes: Kansas City win, Dallas win, or a tie. If the match concludes with a Kansas City victory, the 'Kansas City' market resolves to Yes; a Dallas victory resolves the 'Dallas' market to Yes; and a tied result resolves the 'Tie' market to Yes. In the event the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined per the platform's guidelines. The platform explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the MLS or governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on power rankings and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and real-time adjustments as traders buy and sell contracts. If there’s a significant discrepancy, it might indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast event outcomes than traditional methods, though this isn’t always the case.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders set the odds by placing buy and sell orders for contracts representing the possible outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a highly liquid and efficient market for forecasting the outcome of the Kansas City versus Dallas game.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official result of the Kansas City versus Dallas NFL Divisional Round game. The platform will verify the final score and declare the winning outcome based on publicly available and trusted sources. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding contracts on the incorrect outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price movement in this market. Any significant news regarding player injuries to key players on either the Kansas City or Dallas teams would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts for the game day could also be a catalyst, as weather conditions can impact the style of play and potentially the outcome. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also move the market. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants could signal shifts in sentiment and impact pricing.