TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 10:40 PM EST
Kalshi
The Kansas City vs Austin MLS game allows bettors to evaluate the margin of victory for either side, with markets focusing on wins by specific goal differentials. The match's outcome could hinge on defensive stability or attacking efficiency from either team.
Markets resolve based on whether Kansas City wins by more than 2.5 goals, wins by more than 1.5 goals, Austin wins by more than 1.5 goals, or Austin wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Kansas City vs Austin MLS game on Oct 24, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty kicks are excluded from goal counts. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the MLS or ownership of league trademarks.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may initially incorporate biases or react quickly to news, while this market allows a broader range of participants to weigh in. It’s common to see the prediction market odds move in response to information that hasn’t yet fully impacted sportsbook lines, or to adjust based on differing interpretations of the same information. Analyzing both can provide a more comprehensive view of the expected outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set accurate prices, as they profit from correctly predicting the outcome. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price of these contracts will adjust, providing a real-time assessment of the expected point difference in the Kansas City vs Austin game.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Kansas City vs Austin game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body of the event. Traders who hold contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will not. The market’s resolution is independent of any pre-game analysis or speculation.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 25, 2026. Any significant news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather forecasts could all impact market sentiment. Unexpected developments in team performance during other games could also shift expectations. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, can also play a role, although this market is driven by actual trading activity rather than solely relying on external predictions. Major shifts in any of these areas could lead to noticeable price movements.