TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 10:22 PM EST
Kalshi
In the upcoming MLS match between Kansas City and Austin on October 24, 2026, this event tracks whether both teams manage to score at least one goal during regular time, including stoppage time but excluding extra time or penalty kicks. The outcome hinges on the offensive performance of both sides throughout the 90 minutes plus any added time.
If Kansas City and Austin both score a goal in the Kansas City vs Austin MLS match originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks typically set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and opinions. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk assessments, public sentiment, or the influence of late-breaking news. It's common to see this market diverge from sportsbook lines, particularly as new information becomes available and traders adjust their positions. Examining these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the probability of both Kansas City and Austin scoring. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing a percentage chance of the event occurring. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, indicating growing confidence in the outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform’s mechanism ensures that prices dynamically adjust based on supply and demand, reflecting the aggregated predictions of all participants. This creates a real-time assessment of the likelihood of both teams finding the net.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both Kansas City and Austin score at least one goal during the match. Official match results from recognized sports data providers will be used to determine if both teams have scored. The platform will then finalize the settlement of all outstanding contracts based on this verified outcome. Traders holding contracts on the winning side will receive a payout, while those on the losing side will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 25, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Kansas City or Austin would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or weather conditions could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups or significant pre-match analysis from reputable sources might also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a shift in expectations and drive price movement within this market.