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Kansas Basketball: Next Head Coach
kalshi

Kansas Basketball: Next Head Coach

Mar 25, 2026, 10:00 AM EST - Nov 10, 2026, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$1,047,310
Volume 24h:
$1,771
72%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$528,238
0.01%

Jacque Vaughn

 - Kalshi

Jacque Vaughn - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 10, 2026

Time left: 07d:16h:41m

Will Jacque Vaughn be the next permanent head coach of Kansas men's college basketball?

4%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 4¢ buys you 2,500 shares | Odds: 4% Total Payout: $2,500 | Net Profit: $2,400 Multiplier: 25.00x | ROI: 2,400% APY not meaningful 7 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Jacque Vaughn

Trade
4%
2%
Yes 4¢No 97¢
1¢
N/A
$369,096
0.46%
2%
$113,821
1w 16h
Active
kalshi

Billy Donovan

Trade
2%
Yes 2¢No 100¢
2¢
N/A
$149,928
0.03%
0.31%
$71,586
1w 16h
Active
kalshi

Jeremy Case

Trade
2%
Yes 3¢No 99¢
2¢
N/A
$51,427
0.05%
0.43%
$22,725
1w 16h
Active
kalshi

Aaron Miles

Trade
2%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$32,927
0%
0.71%
$20,329
1w 16h
Active
kalshi

Ben McCollum

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$87,836
0%
1%
$54,246
1w 16h
Active
kalshi

Tommy Lloyd

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$82,424
0%
2%
$56,704
1w 16h
Active
kalshi

T.J. Otzelberger

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$50,326
0%
0.94%
$28,749
1w 16h
Active
kalshi

Scott Drew

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$46,658
0%
0%
$21,558
1w 16h
Active
kalshi

Todd Golden

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$29,559
0%
0%
$11,595
1w 16h
Active
kalshi

Fred Hoiberg

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$19,660
0%
0%
$18,207
1w 16h
Active
kalshi

Dusty May

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$18,434
0%
0.94%
$14,611
1w 16h
Active
kalshi

Mick Cronin

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$18,294
0%
0%
$18,259
1w 16h
Active
kalshi

Grant McCasland

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$15,514
0%
0%
$15,204
1w 16h
Active
kalshi

Brad Underwood

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$15,113
0%
0%
$11,940
1w 16h
Active
kalshi

Nate Oats

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$10,148
0%
0%
$8,002
1w 16h
Active
kalshi

Bucky McMillan

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$8,254
0%
0%
$8,244
1w 16h
Active
kalshi

Brad Stevens

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$7,923
0%
0%
$6,070
1w 16h
Active
kalshi

Sean Miller

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$6,379
0%
0%
$4,866
1w 16h
Active
kalshi

Luke Murray

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$5,712
0%
0%
$4,353
1w 16h
Active
kalshi

Kelvin Sampson

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$5,383
0%
0%
$3,908
1w 16h
Active
kalshi

John Schertz

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$4,882
0%
0%
$3,001
1w 16h
Active
kalshi

Dan Hurley

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$4,206
0%
0%
$4,190
1w 16h
Active
kalshi

Jay Wright

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$3,619
0%
0%
$3,585
1w 16h
Active
kalshi

John Groce

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$3,297
0%
0%
$2,174
1w 16h
Active
kalshi

Dennis Gates

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$312
0%
0%
$311
1w 16h
Active
Total markets: 25

Intro

This market tracks whether Will Jacque Vaughn will be named the next permanent head coach of Kansas men's college basketball. Currently, Kalshi gives Vaughn a 6.0% probability of landing the job, while Jeremy Case is at 3.0%. The market resolves based on the official announcement of Kansas’s next permanent head coach, as determined by whether that coach is Jacque Vaughn, according to the resolution source. Keep an eye on developments as the program searches for a new leader, with the current resolution date estimate being November 10, 2026, potentially signaling when a decision will be finalized.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes if the specified individual is hired as the next permanent head coach of Kansas men's college basketball. All markets resolve to No if no permanent head coach is selected before November 10, 2026, or if Bill Self remains as head coach at expiration. A permanent head coach must be formally selected and assume the position for resolution to occur.

Frequently asked questions

Typically, prediction markets and sportsbook odds offer different perspectives on the same event. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. You may find that this market's probabilities diverge from sportsbook odds, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It’s not uncommon to see differences in implied probabilities, as each venue uses different methodologies and responds to different information flows. This can be a valuable tool for identifying potential value or mispricings.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes in the Kansas basketball coaching search. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each candidate. The current price reflects the aggregated beliefs of all traders on Kalshi.

This market resolves around Nov 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on the official announcement of the next permanent head coach for Kansas men's basketball. The market will settle to 100 for the candidate who is officially named head coach, and 0 for all other candidates. Any changes or interim appointments will not affect the final resolution of this market, only the official, permanent head coaching position will determine the outcome.

Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any credible reports or leaks regarding potential candidates, interviews conducted, or offers extended would likely cause price movements. Official statements from the University of Kansas athletic department or from the candidates themselves would be major catalysts. Furthermore, news regarding other coaching vacancies that might affect a candidate's interest, or the emergence of unexpected candidates, could also shift probabilities. Public endorsements from influential figures within the basketball community could also influence trading activity in this market.