TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 3:51 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams competing in a league game. The result is determined by the final score after the standard playing time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts. Market participants can bet on either team winning or the match ending in a draw.
The event resolves based on the result of the Kalmar vs GAIS professional Allsvenskan soccer match scheduled for October 29, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three possible outcomes are considered: Kalmar win, GAIS win, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team securing a victory within regular time, the corresponding market will resolve to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after regular time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The resolution excludes extra time and penalty shootout results.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams' strengths. If significant differences emerge between this market and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that traders believe the sportsbook is mispricing the event, or that they possess unique insights not yet reflected in traditional odds.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived probability of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the event's outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies. The market's efficiency is driven by the diverse perspectives and information incorporated by participants, leading to a dynamic and informative price discovery process.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Kalmar vs GAIS match, as reported by a trusted sports data source. The platform will determine the winning contract based on the final score and any applicable tie-breaking rules. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 29, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in team form, weather conditions, or even tactical adjustments announced by the managers could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these teams, or broader league standings updates, might also play a role. Significant betting activity, particularly large orders, can also cause noticeable price movements as traders react to new information or adjust their positions.