TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 8:20 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the number of maps played in a professional League of Legends match between two teams scheduled for October 12, 2026. The outcome depends on whether the match extends beyond a certain number of maps, reflecting the competitive back-and-forth between the teams. It provides insight into the expected intensity and duration of the contest.
The event evaluates two separate conditions regarding the total number of maps played in the CBLOL Promotion 2027 match between KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas and LOS, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026, at 5:00 PM EDT. The first condition resolves to Yes if more than 3.5 maps are played, meaning at least four maps must be completed. The second condition resolves to Yes if more than 4.5 maps are played, requiring at least five maps. Both markets are independent, and each has its own resolution criteria based on the actual number of maps played during the match. Neither market is affiliated with or endorsed by the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources of the participants. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of individuals incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public opinion diverges from expert analysis. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, particularly in response to breaking news or subtle shifts in team dynamics. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights into the perceived value of various outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and changing sentiment, providing a real-time assessment of the likely result of the Ilha das Lendas vs. LOS match. This mechanism allows for a fluid and responsive pricing system based on the aggregated beliefs of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the total number of maps played in the Ilha das Lendas vs. LOS match will be used to determine the winning contract. The resolution will rely on official results published by the tournament organizers and widely reported by esports news outlets. The platform will verify the data against these sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final, confirmed result of the match.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or potential roster changes for either Ilha das Lendas or LOS would likely impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about map picks or bans could also shift the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, in-game performance during the match itself, such as early map wins or dominant individual plays, could cause rapid price adjustments. General esports news and community sentiment surrounding the teams could also influence the market, as traders react to new information and evolving expectations.