TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 6:39 PM EST
Kalshi
The second map of the same competitive League of Legends clash between KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas and LOS could shift the dynamics of the match, with each team aiming to claim this crucial map to gain an advantage.
The market resolves to Yes if either KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas or LOS wins map 2 of the specified match. If the match or map is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins, the market resolves to the fair market price. If a map begins and is later forfeited, resolution follows the official result from the governing body.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and their own risk assessment, while this market allows anyone to express their beliefs and influence pricing through trading. If there is a significant discrepancy between the two, it may indicate that the market perceives information differently than the sportsbook, or that one venue has more activity. Examining these differences can offer valuable insights into the perceived probabilities of various outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. Traders are incentivized to accurately assess probabilities, as profitable trades depend on correctly predicting the event's result. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by the collective actions of all participants, creating a dynamic and responsive market for forecasting the Ilha das Lendas vs. LOS match.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of Map 2 in the KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs. LOS match. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the incorrect outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding team rosters, player performance, strategic changes, or even unexpected in-game events could shift trader sentiment. Significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or analyst predictions, might also impact trading activity. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi could indicate informed activity and lead to price adjustments. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding how the market evolves leading up to Oct 13, 2026.