TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 7:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the intensity of a competitive League of Legends match between two teams, focusing on how many games or 'maps' are played. The length of the match indicates the competitive balance between the teams. A longer match typically reflects closely contested gameplay and high stakes for both participants.
The event encompasses two separate outcome measures for the same scheduled League of Legends match, each evaluating a different threshold for the total number of maps played. The first measure resolves positively if more than three and a half maps are completed, indicating at least four full maps were played. The second measure requires more than four and a half maps, meaning at least five maps must be completed for a positive resolution. Both measures apply to the same match originally set for October 5, 2026, at 5:00 PM EDT, and neither is endorsed by the governing league, with all trademarks belonging to their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. If there's a significant difference, it could indicate that prediction market participants have information or beliefs that aren't fully priced into the sportsbook lines. It's worth comparing the probabilities implied by both to see where the discrepancies lie for this particular CS2 matchup.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the total number of maps played in the KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas versus 9z Globant CS2 match will determine the winning contract. The result will be sourced from official esports results websites and tournament organizers to ensure accuracy. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final map count.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or unexpected roster changes for either KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas or 9z Globant could shift expectations. Major upsets in other recent matches involving these teams could also impact trader sentiment. Additionally, in-game performance during the match itself – such as a team gaining a significant early lead – could cause rapid price adjustments as traders react to the unfolding events. Keep an eye on esports news and live match updates for potential catalysts.