TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 5:44 PM EST
Kalshi
The opening map of the match sets the tone for the entire series, with both teams vying for an early advantage. The outcome of map 1 will directly influence the market, showcasing the initial strategies and execution of each team in this high-stakes encounter.
The market resolves to Yes if either KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas or 9z Globant wins map 1 of the CBLOL Promotion 2027 match scheduled for Oct 5, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT. If the match or map is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before any play, the market resolves to the fair market price. If play begins and the map is later forfeited, resolution follows the official result from the tournament organizer. Kalshi is not connected to the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines which may be influenced by factors like public perception or early betting action. Sportsbooks establish odds based on their analysis and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Discrepancies can emerge as new information becomes available or as traders identify perceived mispricings. It's common to see prediction markets move more efficiently as the event approaches, incorporating a wider range of perspectives than traditional betting venues.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of the first map. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders can take either the 'yes' or 'no' side, effectively betting on whether a specific team will win Map 1. As more traders participate, the market price adjusts, providing a real-time assessment of the perceived likelihood of each team's victory.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be determined by the official result of Map 1 in the KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas versus 9z Globant CS2 match. The winning team on the first map will dictate the settlement of this market, and the platform will verify the result against official game data and tournament organizers to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts settled based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding team rosters, player form, strategic changes, or even unexpected technical issues during the match could shift trader sentiment. Strong performances by either KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas or 9z Globant in preceding matches or recent tournaments could also impact the odds. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Kalshi itself can create price movements, as traders react to perceived information advantages or changes in market consensus.