TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 5:37 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional State Cup soccer match between Kabilio Jaffa and Ironi Modiin. The result is determined based on the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time, without considering extra time or penalty shootouts. The event covers three possible outcomes: a win for either team or a tie.
The event determines the result of the Kabilio Jaffa vs Ironi Modiin professional State Cup soccer match originally scheduled for October 28, 2026. The market resolves based on the outcome after the full 90 minutes of regulation play plus any stoppage time, explicitly excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Three distinct markets correspond to the possible results: a win for Kabilio Jaffa, a win for Ironi Modiin, or a tie. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Additionally, if the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform’s rules. The platform explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and their own risk assessments, while this market allows individuals to express their own informed opinions. It’s common to see discrepancies emerge, especially when there’s significant public interest or disagreement about the likely outcome of the Kabilio Jaffa vs Ironi Modiin match. These differences can present opportunities for arbitrage, where traders attempt to profit from price variations between the two types of markets.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Kabilio Jaffa vs Ironi Modiin match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently aggregate information and reflect the evolving expectations of participants.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Kabilio Jaffa vs Ironi Modiin match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will then determine the winning contract based on the final score and declare the corresponding outcome. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the Kabilio Jaffa vs Ironi Modiin match takes place. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, updates on team performance in preceding matches, coaching strategies, or even public opinion expressed through polls and media coverage can all contribute to price movements. Major upsets in related matches or significant shifts in betting patterns at sportsbooks could also impact trading activity and influence the market’s direction.