TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 2:19 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Kabilio Jaffa and Ironi Modiin scheduled for October 16, 2026. The result will be determined based on the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, without considering extra time or penalty shootouts. The market will reflect whether one team secures a win or if the game ends in a tie within this timeframe.
The event resolves based on the result of the Kabilio Jaffa vs Ironi Modiin professional Liga Leumit soccer match scheduled for October 16, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three possible outcomes are considered: a win for Kabilio Jaffa, a win for Ironi Modiin, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team winning within the regulation time, the respective market will resolve to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after regulation time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The resolution specifically excludes extra time and penalty shootout results.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals with varying information and perspectives. It's common to see discrepancies emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the two can offer a broader understanding of the perceived probabilities surrounding the Kabilio Jaffa vs Ironi Modiin match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly, offering a real-time assessment of the potential results of the match.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Kabilio Jaffa vs Ironi Modiin match as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will then determine the winning contract based on the final score and declare the corresponding outcome. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff for either Kabilio Jaffa or Ironi Modiin could significantly impact the odds. Unexpected weather conditions on the day of the match or even public sentiment shifts based on pre-game analysis could also drive price movements. Major announcements related to the teams or the league they compete in are also potential catalysts for changes in this market.