TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 4:52 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between KAA Gent and Aarhus GF, scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "KAA Gent" if KAA Gent are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Aarhus GF" if Aarhus GF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between KAA Gent and Aarhus GF, scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "KAA Gent" if KAA Gent are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Aarhus GF" if Aarhus GF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and often incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds, it might indicate that the market perceives information differently than the sportsbook, or that one venue has identified a mispricing. It's a useful comparison for anyone looking at the event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adjust to incorporate new information and changing sentiment regarding which team will score first in the KAA Gent vs. Aarhus GF match.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the KAA Gent vs. Aarhus GF match. The official match records will serve as the basis for determining the winning outcome. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the resolution is finalized on Polymarket.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in starting lineups would likely cause movement. Unexpected weather conditions or tactical shifts announced by either team's manager could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, significant betting activity – a large influx of volume on one outcome – could shift the probabilities. Overall match form and any pre-match analysis released by sports analysts could also contribute to changes in this market.