TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 2:36 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the Liiga match between Jukurit Mikkeli and KalPa Hockey, scheduled for October 3 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Jukurit Mikkeli" if Jukurit Mikkeli is officially credited with the match win. This market will resolve to "KalPa Hockey" if KalPa Hockey is officially credited with the match win. The official final result will be used, including overtime and any shootout. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Liiga results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the Liiga match between Jukurit Mikkeli and KalPa Hockey, scheduled for October 3 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Jukurit Mikkeli" if Jukurit Mikkeli is officially credited with the match win. This market will resolve to "KalPa Hockey" if KalPa Hockey is officially credited with the match win. The official final result will be used, including overtime and any shootout. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Liiga results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Prediction market odds often offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, reflects the wisdom of the crowd – the collective belief of individuals trading on Polymarket. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply a different assessment of team strengths. Examining these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making, but remember that both represent probabilities of the same underlying event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. As more shares are purchased for a specific outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share represents the probability of that outcome occurring, and traders aim to profit by correctly predicting the event's result. The current price reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Jukurit Mikkeli versus KalPa Hockey game, as reported by the Liiga official website or another authoritative sports source. Traders will be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome. It’s important to monitor the official results as they become available to understand when the market will officially settle.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Unexpected news regarding player injuries, coaching changes, or team performance could all have a significant impact. Major upsets in other games involving these teams, or shifts in public perception based on sports analysis, could also drive price movements. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants on Polymarket can create momentum and affect the overall market sentiment. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in the probabilities reflected by this market.