TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 8:56 PM EST
Kalshi
Similar to the first event, this market evaluates different goal thresholds for the Juarez vs Tijuana soccer match. Each outcome corresponds to a specific goal count that must be surpassed for resolution.
Each market resolves to Yes if the specified number of goals are exceeded in the Juarez vs Tijuana professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty goals are excluded from all calculations. The governing league's official match result will determine resolution, and Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the league.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. Therefore, you might observe discrepancies between the implied probabilities in this market and those offered by sportsbooks. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast outcomes, especially when information isn’t widely available or is subject to bias.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential outcomes for the total goals scored in the Juarez vs Tijuana match. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of the traders. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the market price tends to converge towards a more accurate prediction of the event's outcome. The current price indicates what traders believe is the probability of a specific total goals outcome occurring.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total goals scored in the Juarez vs Tijuana match will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on official match data, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result and confirmation of the market's settlement.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Juarez or Tijuana teams could significantly shift expectations, as could changes in weather conditions that might affect the game's scoring potential. Late-breaking news about team formations or tactical changes could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, public sentiment and analysis from sports commentators could influence traders' decisions, leading to price fluctuations in this market.