TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 9:00 PM EST
Kalshi
The event determines if both Juarez and Tijuana will find the back of the net in their Liga MX fixture set for October 10, 2026. Scoring must occur within the normal 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, with the exclusion of goals scored during extra time or penalty kicks.
If Juarez and Tijuana both score a goal in the Juarez vs Tijuana Liga MX match originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It's common to see this market and sportsbook odds converge closer to the event date as more information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of both teams scoring in the Juarez vs Tijuana match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective forecast of the market participants. Higher demand for 'yes' contracts (both teams to score) will drive up the price, while increased selling pressure will lower it.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both the Juarez and Tijuana teams score at least one goal during the match. Official match results from a recognized sports data provider will be used to determine the final outcome. Traders who correctly predicted whether both teams would score will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. News regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Juarez or Tijuana would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, such as a recent string of high-scoring or low-scoring games, could also shift market sentiment. Even weather conditions on match day, potentially affecting the style of play, could cause fluctuations. Unexpected announcements about tactical changes or starting lineups could also move this market as traders adjust their predictions.