TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 10:56 PM EST
Kalshi
The market assesses whether more than a specific number of goals will be scored in the Juarez versus Queretaro Liga MX soccer match on October 30, 2026. Outcomes depend strictly on the total goals scored within regular time, excluding extra periods or penalty shootouts.
All markets resolve based solely on the total number of goals scored during the 90-minute regulation period plus any stoppage time added by the referee, with outcomes determined by thresholds set at 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5 goals. Extra time and penalty shootout results are explicitly excluded from consideration. The markets are independent of league affiliations, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of different outcomes. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the price in this market will move to reflect that view. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly before a substantial amount of volume is traded.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. The market’s price movements are influenced by news, team form, injuries, and any other information relevant to the match, all factored in by traders.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Juarez vs Queretaro match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the match will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official match result as reported by a recognized sports data provider, ensuring an objective and transparent outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Juarez or Queretaro would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups or pre-match controversies could also lead to shifts in the market price, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.