TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 10:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Juarez will win its Liga MX soccer game against Queretaro after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Currently, Kalshi gives Juarez a 99.0% probability of winning, while Queretaro is at 1.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the game as reported by official sources, with resolution rules stipulating a win after regulation time—excluding any extra time or penalties. Keep an eye on the match itself, as the market will resolve to Yes or No depending on the result of the game originally scheduled for Oct 30, 2026, with final settlement occurring by the resolution date of 2026-10-31.
The markets resolve based on the result of the Juarez vs Queretaro professional Liga MX soccer match scheduled for October 30, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins, while a tied game resolves the 'Tie' market as 'Yes.' If the match is canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and biases. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the views of many independent traders. If a significant discrepancy exists, it could indicate that the crowd believes a sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome. Analyzing these differences can offer valuable insights for informed decision-making, though it’s important to remember both represent probabilities, not guarantees.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Juarez vs Queretaro match. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of its probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust, creating a dynamic and efficient price discovery process. The market’s price is driven entirely by supply and demand; there are no external factors influencing the outcome or pricing mechanism.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Juarez vs Queretaro match, as reported by a trusted sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the winning contract. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 31, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or shifts in player form could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-match analysis from respected sports commentators could also move the market. Major betting activity, even from a single large trader, can also cause noticeable price fluctuations, reflecting a change in collective sentiment about the Juarez vs Queretaro match.