TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 10:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Juarez and Atlante, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on how many goals each team scores during regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. Different thresholds define whether the market resolves positively for each possible winning scenario.
The event evaluates various goal-differential scenarios in the Juarez versus Atlante professional Liga MX soccer match scheduled for October 20, 2026. Resolution occurs solely based on regular time scoring after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty phases. Four distinct primary rules define potential Yes outcomes: Juarez winning by more than 2.5 goals, Juarez winning by more than 1.5 goals, Atlante winning by more than 1.5 goals, or Atlante winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each rule addresses a specific margin of victory, allowing multiple overlapping conditions to potentially trigger a Yes resolution depending on the final score. All markets operate independently of official league affiliations, and trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own analysis and to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If there’s a significant difference, it could indicate that the market perceives information differently than sportsbooks, or that one venue has more activity. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of trading occurs, as this market is still developing.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome of the Juarez vs Atlante match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the event's potential results. The market’s depth and volume provide insights into the confidence level behind these predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Juarez vs Atlante match, as reported by a recognized sports data source. The final price of the contracts will reflect whether the outcome aligned with the predictions made by traders. This provides a clear and objective determination of the market's success in forecasting the event's result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 21, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Additionally, updates on weather conditions or even public perception of team morale can play a role. As the match date approaches, any pre-game analysis or expert predictions could also drive trading activity and affect the market's price. Major shifts in betting patterns at sportsbooks could also influence trading on Kalshi.