TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 6:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional soccer match between Juan Pablo II College and Sport Boys in Peru's Liga 1 league. The result will be determined by the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time. The market offers three possible outcomes reflecting a win for either team or a draw.
The event resolves based on the official result of the Juan Pablo II College vs Sport Boys professional Peru Liga 1 soccer match scheduled for October 17, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins, while the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes' if the match ends level. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following Kalshi’s standard procedures. The resolution excludes extra time and penalty shootouts, focusing solely on regular-time results.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on power rankings and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities as new information emerges. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply variations in opinion. It’s common to see this market adjust rapidly to news or events that impact the perceived likelihood of outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity indicate the level of confidence traders have in their predictions, and the price movements provide insights into how opinions are evolving.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official outcome of the Peruvian Primera División match between Juan Pablo II College and Sport Boys, as reported by official league sources. The platform will verify the final score and declare the winning outcome based on this publicly available information, ensuring a transparent and reliable resolution process.
Several signals could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions would likely impact the odds. Additionally, performance in recent matches, weather conditions, and even public sentiment expressed through media coverage could all influence trading activity. Major upsets in other related matches or significant shifts in betting patterns at sportsbooks could also contribute to price movements in this market.